Rybakina E vs Mertens E on January 26

13:07, 24 January 2026
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Australian Open | January 26 at 00:00
Rybakina E
Rybakina E
VS
Mertens E
Mertens E

The stage is set for a thrilling encounter in the upcoming Women’s Tennis tournament match between Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens, scheduled for January 26. As both players head into this showdown, the stakes are high, and the momentum is on the line. The match promises to be an intriguing battle of contrasting playing styles, high-level tennis, and intense athleticism. With a hard court surface awaiting them, both competitors are set to put their skills to the test in an all-important clash that could have significant ramifications for the tournament’s later stages. Who will emerge victorious? Read on as we analyze the tactical approaches, current form, and key matchups that will determine the outcome of this highly anticipated contest.

Rybakina E: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Elena Rybakina has been one of the most consistent performers on the WTA Tour in recent months. Known for her explosive power and strong baseline game, Rybakina has risen to the challenge time and time again in high-pressure matches. Over the last five games, Rybakina has shown exceptional form, winning four out of five encounters, with the loss coming to a top-tier player in a tight three-set battle. Her serve remains a key weapon, with her first-serve percentage hovering around 70%, and her ability to hit aces consistently is a standout feature of her game. She will look to dictate play with her powerful forehand and backhand, often looking to dominate rallies from the baseline, using depth and precision to push her opponent into difficult positions.

When analyzing her return game, Rybakina is equally formidable. She ranks highly for return points won on both first and second serves, particularly on hard courts. This gives her a significant edge against players who rely on their serves to control points. In rallies, she tends to adopt a direct, aggressive approach, aiming to finish points quickly with powerful groundstrokes and a willingness to take on the net when the opportunity arises.

Rybakina’s physical fitness and endurance have also been vital in her recent performances, allowing her to maintain a high level of play throughout long rallies and tight sets. Her confidence is at an all-time high, and with her strong, no-nonsense approach, she will look to overpower Mertens in the early stages of the match.

With no injury concerns to report, Rybakina is in excellent condition, and she will need to bring her A-game to avoid being caught off guard by Mertens' tactical versatility.

Mertens E: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Elise Mertens brings a different flavor to the court, characterized by her tactical intelligence and ability to adapt quickly to various game situations. The Belgian is renowned for her exceptional footwork, consistency, and the ability to grind out points from the baseline. Mertens’ versatility makes her a dangerous opponent, as she can change gears in the middle of a match, relying on variety to throw off her opponent’s rhythm. Her last five matches have seen a mixed bag of results, with Mertens winning three of them, including an impressive victory over a high-ranked player who is also known for aggressive baseline play.

Mertens’ greatest strength lies in her return game, where she excels in neutralizing powerful serves. Her ability to redirect the ball with accuracy and precision on her return is key to her strategy, particularly against players like Rybakina, who rely heavily on their serving game. She tends to engage in longer rallies, using her speed and ability to play with angles to outlast her opponents. Her forehand and backhand are both well-rounded, and she possesses a particular knack for defending against opponents’ powerful groundstrokes and turning defense into offense.

However, one of the aspects that might impact Mertens' performance is her tendency to struggle against big hitters on fast surfaces. While her overall consistency and tactical awareness are excellent, her lack of a truly explosive weapon means she often finds herself on the back foot in key moments, particularly when an opponent is able to dictate play from the baseline. Mertens will need to find ways to disrupt Rybakina’s rhythm and avoid getting caught in powerful, one-sided exchanges.

Currently, Mertens is injury-free and appears to be in good shape. However, her success in this match will heavily depend on her ability to counter Rybakina’s offensive play and take the initiative when the opportunity presents itself.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

Rybakina and Mertens have faced each other on several occasions in the past, but their head-to-head is fairly balanced, with Rybakina holding a slight edge. The most recent encounters have showcased some intriguing tactical shifts, with both players having won a match each. In their previous meeting, Rybakina took control of the match with her dominant serve and forehand, overpowering Mertens in straight sets. However, Mertens has shown resilience in their past clashes, often making the adjustments needed to stay competitive, especially in longer rallies.

Psychologically, Rybakina's recent string of victories and her commanding serve put her in a strong position going into this match. Mertens, however, is known for her ability to weather tough situations and play with a tactical approach that can frustrate the more power-based players. The mental aspect of this match will be crucial, as Rybakina’s patience and willingness to play long rallies might be tested by Mertens’ determination and consistency.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

The first key battle in this match will revolve around the serve. Rybakina’s dominant serve will be tested by Mertens’ excellent return game. If Mertens can consistently break Rybakina’s serve or at least neutralize it, she could gain a significant advantage. Rybakina’s power on serve and her first-serve percentage will be crucial in setting the tone for the match, and Mertens will need to make sure she reads Rybakina’s serve well and tries to return it deep, not allowing her opponent to dictate the point from the outset.

The second critical duel will be in the rally exchanges, where Rybakina’s power against Mertens’ consistency will be put to the test. Mertens will need to extend rallies and play with variety to prevent Rybakina from dictating with her huge groundstrokes. The Belgian will need to push Rybakina wide and open up the court, forcing the Kazakh player into uncomfortable positions. Rybakina, on the other hand, will need to keep the rallies short, using her ability to take control early in points and hit aggressive winners when possible.

Match Scenario and Prediction

Given both players’ current form and playing styles, the most likely scenario for this match is one where Rybakina will look to dictate with her aggressive baseline game and powerful serving, while Mertens will rely on her consistency and court coverage to stay in the match. The first few games will likely be key, with Rybakina’s ability to hold serve being crucial. If Mertens can break her early, the momentum could shift in her favor. However, if Rybakina starts strong and builds an early lead, it may prove difficult for Mertens to mount a successful challenge.

In terms of match prediction, I expect Rybakina to come through in straight sets, likely 6-4, 6-3. Her serve and power game will be the difference, and unless Mertens can significantly alter the course of rallies, Rybakina’s firepower should see her through to victory.

Final Thoughts

In this clash of styles, Elena Rybakina’s ability to dominate from the baseline and serve with power will likely prove to be the deciding factor. Mertens’ tactical adaptability and consistency will be tested against Rybakina’s aggressive play, and while the Belgian can be tricky to break down, the explosive nature of Rybakina’s game gives her a slight edge. The key question this match will answer: Can Mertens slow down Rybakina’s relentless attack, or will the Kazakh player’s power prove too much?

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