Rybakina E vs Gracheva V on 22 January

10:34, 22 January 2026
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Australian Open | 22 January at 10:25
Rybakina E
Rybakina E
VS
Gracheva V
Gracheva V

The 22nd of January will see an exciting clash between Elena Rybakina and Varvara Gracheva in the Women's Tennis tournament. Set to take place on the outdoor courts, this match promises to be a thrilling contest between two contrasting playing styles, with a great deal at stake for both competitors. With the match unfolding in perfect weather conditions, both players will be eager to deliver their best performances, as the tournament enters a crucial phase.

Rybakina E: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Elena Rybakina enters this match in strong form, having won 4 of her last 5 games, showing consistency and resilience. Her serve remains one of her key weapons, with a first serve percentage consistently above 70%, putting significant pressure on her opponents right from the start. Known for her aggressive baseline play, Rybakina excels when dictating points from the back of the court. Her ability to hit with depth and pace forces her opponents into defensive positions, allowing her to dominate rallies. Additionally, her return game has been impressive, often putting opponents on the back foot with her deep and penetrating returns. While she can occasionally struggle with unforced errors, her physicality and focus on power make her a formidable player on the hard court.

In terms of key players, Rybakina is currently in good shape, with no injuries reported. She has proven to be the engine of her game, keeping a high level of intensity throughout her matches. If she can continue serving well and maintain her aggressive baseline play, she will certainly be the player to beat in this encounter.

Gracheva V: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Varvara Gracheva has had a mixed run of form in her last 5 games, securing 3 wins but also showing signs of inconsistency in her performances. Gracheva's style of play is more about control and placement than raw power, as she prefers a tactical approach to rallies. Her serve can be a bit unpredictable, but when she gets it right, she is able to set up points effectively, using spin and variation to keep her opponents guessing. Gracheva thrives in long rallies, and her ability to remain patient while waiting for the right moment to attack is one of her defining characteristics. However, her weaknesses are evident when under pressure, particularly when facing big hitters like Rybakina, who can break down her defense with powerful groundstrokes.

Gracheva's key strength lies in her ability to read the game, but she will need to step up her first serve percentage to stand a chance against Rybakina's aggressive returning game. Gracheva's fitness is currently not a concern, and with her tactical nous, she can certainly make this a competitive match.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

The two players have met once before, with Rybakina emerging victorious in a straight-set win. In that encounter, Rybakina’s aggressive serve and powerful groundstrokes were too much for Gracheva to handle. Gracheva was unable to get into a rhythm, struggling to handle the power and pace of Rybakina’s game. The head-to-head, although limited, reflects the stark contrast in playing styles, with Rybakina's firepower seemingly overwhelming Gracheva’s more tactical approach. However, this time Gracheva will have the advantage of experience and the opportunity to adapt her game plan, as she has undoubtedly learned from their previous meeting.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

The key battle in this match will undoubtedly be the serving exchange. Rybakina's serve will be a critical asset for her, and Gracheva's ability to return with precision will determine how much control she can gain in the rallies. Rybakina's powerful serve could be a game-changer, but if Gracheva can return with accuracy and frustrate her opponent with her consistency, she could level the playing field. The battle from the baseline will also be crucial, as Rybakina thrives on powerful groundstrokes while Gracheva excels at crafting long, strategic rallies. The ability to impose one's game style on the other will be essential in dictating the flow of play.

Match Scenario and Prediction

Rybakina will likely look to dictate the tempo from the very first point, using her powerful serve to gain an early advantage. If she can maintain a high first serve percentage, her groundstrokes will set her up for the victory. Gracheva will need to stay patient, keeping Rybakina at bay with strategic shot placement and effective returns. However, Rybakina's power on hard courts might prove to be the difference. I predict a win for Rybakina in straight sets, likely with a 6-3, 6-4 scoreline, as her aggressive game will break down Gracheva's defense.

Final Thoughts

This match will answer the question of whether Gracheva can overcome Rybakina's raw power and aggressive baseline game. Rybakina's strength and physicality make her the clear favorite, but if Gracheva can stay patient and outlast Rybakina in rallies, she may just have the tools to pull off an upset. One thing is certain: it will be a match full of excitement and contrast, with the outcome hanging on which player can impose their game style most effectively.

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