Slovenia vs Sweden on 23 January

23:44, 21 January 2026
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EC 2026 | 23 January at 17:00
Slovenia
Slovenia
VS
Sweden
Sweden

The stage is set for a thrilling handball encounter between Slovenia and Sweden in the prestigious Scandinavian tournament hosted across Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. With both teams eager to prove their dominance in Europe’s premier competition, this matchup promises to deliver high-paced action and intriguing tactical battles. The game will take place on January 23, 2026, in a contest that could prove pivotal for both sides’ ambitions in the tournament. With vital points on the line, this clash will not only shape the future of their campaigns but also provide insights into the evolution of their strategies on the international handball scene.

Slovenia: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Slovenia enters this match in solid form, having displayed resilience and intensity in their last five outings. A balance between defensive discipline and offensive flair has been their hallmark in recent games. The team typically lines up in a 6-0 defensive formation, with their pivot often used as a focal point in both attack and defense. This setup allows for fluid ball movement, especially through the backcourt, where the likes of their playmaker operate to facilitate quick transitions and exploit openings in the opponent's defense.

In their most recent encounters, Slovenia has averaged a strong shooting efficiency of 65%, showcasing the clinical finishing of their key players. While they are often measured in their approach, they know how to capitalize on fast breaks and counterattacks, particularly after forcing turnovers through an aggressive defensive press. Slovenia's defense is solid but can occasionally struggle against teams that employ dynamic offensive transitions. The key to their success will be the ability to maintain control of the tempo and dictate the pace of the game.

Key players for Slovenia include their dynamic goalkeeper, whose saves have been critical to their defensive setup, and the explosive left back, who remains a key figure in their offensive schemes. However, injuries to some squad members have affected their depth, particularly in the wings. Their right-winger, in particular, has been sidelined, leaving them with limited options in this area.

Sweden: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Sweden, one of the tournament favorites, boasts a team filled with experience and individual brilliance. Their approach to the game revolves around fluid attacking transitions and a defensive system that emphasizes a high press and quick recovery. Sweden typically employs a 5-1 defensive formation, which allows them to cover the central areas tightly while also pressing high to disrupt their opponent's build-up play. Their ability to adapt quickly to in-game situations, particularly on defense, has been one of their strong suits this season.

In their last five games, Sweden has exhibited excellent shot accuracy at around 70%, often exploiting gaps in the opponent’s defense with precision and speed. Their right back has been particularly impressive, acting as the key playmaker in attack, feeding the ball to pivots and creating shooting opportunities for their wingers. Sweden’s offense is powered by their ability to create quick overlaps, using their pace to break down opposing defenses before they have a chance to reorganize.

However, Sweden’s main strength lies in their defensive unit, which is notorious for suffocating opponents in the middle block. With a compact and disciplined setup, they force their adversaries to play out wide, where their defensive prowess has the most impact. The team’s center back is the lynchpin of their defense, both organizing the back line and frequently stepping up to intercept passes in key areas. Injuries have slightly affected their squad, with a couple of players missing due to minor issues, but their depth allows them to rotate efficiently without compromising their tactics.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

Historically, Slovenia and Sweden have been evenly matched, with both teams exchanging wins in recent encounters. Their most recent meeting saw Sweden emerge victorious with a hard-fought 29-27 win, but Slovenia proved that they can go toe-to-toe with the Swedes, pushing them to the brink. Both teams are well aware of the psychological importance of this fixture. For Slovenia, a win would validate their credentials as serious contenders, while Sweden needs to prove that they can dominate a team that has caused them trouble in the past.

The psychological element here cannot be understated, as Slovenia will enter the match with the belief that they can shock Sweden. However, Sweden's strong tournament pedigree and recent form give them an edge in terms of confidence. The key for Slovenia will be to disrupt Sweden’s rhythm and force them into a more defensive mindset, while Sweden will look to assert their dominance early and control the tempo.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

There are several fascinating individual and positional duels that could determine the outcome of this match. One key battle will be between Slovenia’s explosive left back and Sweden’s compact defense, particularly their left-wing defender, who excels at closing down shooters quickly. This matchup could decide the balance of Slovenia’s offensive efforts. If their left back can find success in breaking through Sweden’s defense, it will open up space for other Slovenian players to capitalize.

Another crucial battle will be in the goalkeeping department, with Slovenia’s goalkeeper set to face Sweden's powerful offense head-on. The goalkeeper’s ability to deal with Sweden’s fast break and control key shots from their right back will be decisive in determining Slovenia’s defensive resilience. If Slovenia can hold strong in this area, they will have a significant opportunity to control the game.

Lastly, the battle of the pivots will be critical. Both teams rely heavily on their pivot players to create space in attack and provide an outlet for their backcourt players. The team that can dominate the pivot area, either through defensive shutdowns or offensive creativity, will have a substantial advantage in the final result.

Match Scenario and Prediction

The match is expected to be a tight and tactical affair, with both teams employing contrasting but complementary styles of play. Sweden will likely start strong, trying to assert their dominance early with a high tempo and aggressive defense. They will look to control possession and utilize their right back to break down Slovenia’s defense. On the other hand, Slovenia will aim to slow the pace, looking for opportunities to strike on counterattacks while staying solid in defense.

Given Sweden’s higher overall quality and depth, coupled with their familiarity with the pressure of high-stakes international competition, they are favored to edge this match. However, Slovenia’s tactical flexibility and solid defense make them formidable opponents. Expect a game decided by a margin of 2-3 goals, with Sweden likely taking the win. Key game metrics to watch will be the goalkeeping save percentage, shooting efficiency, and turnovers.

Final Thoughts

Slovenia and Sweden are two well-matched teams with different tactical approaches, but only one will come out victorious in this crucial encounter. The key to the match will lie in how well Slovenia can handle Sweden’s offensive onslaught and whether they can exploit any weaknesses in Sweden’s defense. On the other hand, Sweden will look to prove that their tactical discipline and high-tempo offense can overwhelm Slovenia’s defensive structure.

Ultimately, this match will answer the question: Can Slovenia’s tactical discipline and defensive resolve overcome Sweden’s superior offensive power and high-tempo play? With both teams highly motivated, it promises to be a thrilling encounter that could have significant ramifications for the rest of the tournament.

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