Nueva Santa Rosa vs Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa on 18 January

23:28, 16 January 2026
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Guatemala | 18 January at 21:30
Nueva Santa Rosa
Nueva Santa Rosa
VS
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

On January 18th, a critical clash in the Primera Division will see Nueva Santa Rosa face off against Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa. Both teams are in the midst of fierce competition for mid-table supremacy, and this encounter promises to be a pivotal moment in their respective campaigns. Set to take place at [insert stadium name], the match will be an exciting test of tactical prowess, individual brilliance, and team resolve.

Nueva Santa Rosa: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Nueva Santa Rosa enter this match with a mixed bag of results in their last five outings, but their performances have generally been solid. Their 2-1 win in the last round against a relegation-threatened team was a much-needed confidence booster. They are currently sitting mid-table and need to secure points to maintain their position as they aim for a respectable finish this season.

In terms of tactical setup, Nueva Santa Rosa traditionally employs a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on a high pressing game that looks to suffocate the opposition early on. Their defensive line, while solid, is prone to lapses when put under sustained pressure, often leading to disorganized transitions from defense to attack. They tend to dominate possession in the opposition's half, with 58% average possession in their last five matches, but they sometimes struggle to convert that into clear-cut opportunities.

Key players for Nueva Santa Rosa include their central midfielder, who has been pivotal in linking defense to attack. His passing accuracy is an impressive 86%, and he often looks for through balls to the wingers, who then look to exploit space behind the full-backs. The forward line, while lacking in consistency, features a forward who has scored three goals in his last four appearances, making him the primary goal-scoring threat.

However, there are concerns in the injury department. Their star right-back has been sidelined for the past few weeks, forcing a reshuffle in the back four. The absence of their starting goalkeeper due to suspension is another hurdle, as his presence in aerial duels and shot-stopping is crucial for the team’s defensive solidity. Despite these setbacks, Nueva Santa Rosa will look to impose themselves physically and dominate the midfield battle.

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s form has been erratic, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. Their most recent 3-0 victory over a lower-tier team was a statement win, as they look to continue building momentum. Like Nueva Santa Rosa, they find themselves comfortably mid-table, but they too are chasing that elusive top-six finish.

Tactically, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa often plays in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a compact defensive setup that transitions quickly into counter-attacks. This counter-attacking approach has allowed them to exploit spaces behind opposing full-backs, with their wingers often the main outlet for quick breaks. They have been quite effective in winning the ball in the middle third, averaging 12 pressing actions per match, which has been key to their ability to break quickly.

Statistically, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa has maintained a solid 50% possession rate, though they are more reliant on direct play and crossing (with an average of 12 crosses per game) than ball retention. Their central midfielder is a key player in their transition, with his ability to win duels and distribute the ball efficiently being central to their counter-attacking strategy. Up top, their striker has been in excellent form, with five goals in his last six matches, and he will be the focal point of their attacking efforts.

In terms of injuries, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa is relatively healthy, though their right-winger, who has been a creative force in their attack, is doubtful due to a knee issue. His potential absence could hurt their width and crossing options, forcing them to be more compact and less dynamic in the attacking third. Nevertheless, their physicality and aerial prowess in set-piece situations will be a constant threat.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

Looking at the recent head-to-head encounters between these two sides, the last five meetings have been tightly contested. Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa has a slight edge, winning three of the last five fixtures, but the games have often been decided by small margins. In the last encounter, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa won 1-0 in a scrappy, hard-fought battle where set-piece delivery was key to breaking the deadlock.

Historically, these matches have been characterized by close physical contests, with both teams frequently engaging in battles for dominance in midfield. Nueva Santa Rosa has struggled to break down Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa's well-organized defense in recent seasons, and this tactical battle will undoubtedly be key to the outcome on January 18th.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

The key battle in this match will likely be in the central midfield, where Nueva Santa Rosa's ball progression will be met by the defensive solidity of Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa. The playmaking ability of Nueva Santa Rosa’s central midfielder, who averages 2.3 key passes per game, will be crucial against Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s press. If he can escape the press and release his wingers into space, it could cause real problems for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s defensive setup.

Another critical area will be the flanks. Nueva Santa Rosa’s left-winger has been particularly dangerous in recent matches, dribbling past full-backs at a rate of 3.1 successful dribbles per game. His battle against Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s right-back will be pivotal, especially if Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s counter-attacks are stifled and they are forced to defend in wide areas.

The aerial duels will also be a key aspect, as both teams are known for their ability to score from set-pieces. Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s center-backs have a strong aerial presence, and if they can neutralize Nueva Santa Rosa’s set-piece threat, it will greatly diminish their opponents’ attacking options.

Match Scenario and Prediction

This match will likely unfold with both teams attempting to impose their style, with Nueva Santa Rosa trying to dominate possession and break down Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s organized defense, while Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa will look to sit back and exploit counter-attacks. The key for Nueva Santa Rosa will be to break the press and transition quickly, while Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa will rely on their aerial strength and quick counters to create chances.

The likely scenario is a tightly contested affair, with both teams finding it difficult to break each other down. Given their current form and head-to-head record, a draw seems like the most probable outcome, but a 1-1 scoreline could also be likely, with both teams scoring from set-pieces or quick breaks.

Final Thoughts

This is a crucial game for both teams as they look to secure vital points in the mid-table battle of the Primera Division. The outcome will likely hinge on which side can impose their style and control key areas, particularly in midfield and the wide channels. Will Nueva Santa Rosa’s possession-based approach overcome Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa’s physicality and quick counters? This match will answer that question, and the stakes couldn’t be higher for either side.

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