Sasnovich A vs Paolini J on January 18

04:30, 16 January 2026
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WTA | January 18 at 00:30
Sasnovich A
Sasnovich A
VS
Paolini J
Paolini J

On January 18, the Australian Open will witness a thrilling encounter between two skilled and determined competitors: Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Jasmine Paolini. Both players are coming into this tournament with their own momentum and aspirations, eager to make a significant impact in one of tennis' most prestigious events. As they prepare to face off on the hard courts of Melbourne, the stakes couldn't be higher—each woman has a chance to push for a deeper run in the tournament, setting up a high-stakes clash that promises to deliver both tactical battles and high-level tennis. So, what can we expect from this exciting match?

Sasnovich A: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Aliaksandra Sasnovich, hailing from Belarus, enters this Australian Open with a solid blend of aggressive baseline play and tactical variety. Her last five matches reflect her resilience and adaptability, as she has proven capable of competing with some of the top-ranked players. Sasnovich's serve, while not the most dominant on tour, is effective, with an average first serve percentage of 70% in recent matches and a strong second serve to back it up. However, it is her return game that truly shines—she capitalizes on opponents' second serves with an aggressive mindset, often stepping inside the baseline to dictate rallies early on.

Her primary strength lies in her ability to sustain long rallies from the baseline, especially when playing on hard courts where she can get good bounce and control over her groundstrokes. Sasnovich's forehand is her weapon of choice, a strong and heavy shot that she often uses to break her opponents' rhythm. She can also come to the net when needed, although she’s more comfortable from the baseline. Her last few matches indicate a solid all-court game, though she can struggle against opponents who apply consistent pressure or have a stronger net game.

Looking at her form over the last five matches, Sasnovich has a mixed record, but she has shown the ability to bounce back after tough losses, making her a dangerous opponent on any given day. Her resilience and tactical intelligence are the key components that will determine her success against Paolini.

Paolini J: Tactical Approach and Current Form

On the other side of the net, Italy's Jasmine Paolini has been quietly building a strong reputation as a tenacious and technically sound player. Paolini is known for her superb consistency, particularly on the backhand side, where she can produce both depth and precision. Over her last five matches, Paolini has demonstrated excellent movement and defensive skills, often absorbing power from her opponents and redirecting it with her well-timed groundstrokes. Paolini's return game is one of her key strengths, as she frequently forces her opponents into long rallies, rarely letting them dictate play with their big shots.

While her serve isn’t as explosive as some of the power players on tour, Paolini’s first serve is reliable, with a high percentage of first serves in and decent pace. Her second serve is also consistent, and she has a solid tactical understanding of when to mix up her deliveries. Paolini thrives when she can establish her rhythm from the baseline, keeping the ball in play and patiently waiting for the opportunity to attack. She has proven to be a tricky opponent for players who rely on power, as her defensive capabilities often frustrate her foes.

Currently, Paolini’s form has been quite strong, with a number of well-fought victories against higher-ranked players. Her ability to stay calm under pressure and keep the ball in play will be essential against Sasnovich, who can sometimes be rattled by long, grinding rallies. Paolini’s recent form and mental fortitude make her a serious contender in this match.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

Historically, Sasnovich and Paolini have met a few times, with their encounters being closely contested, showcasing contrasting playing styles. Sasnovich, with her more aggressive, attacking mindset, typically tries to seize control early, while Paolini’s counter-punching approach often frustrates opponents, forcing them to make errors. Their last two meetings, which both went to three sets, were decided by who could control the pace—Sasnovich with her aggressive baseline hitting or Paolini with her exceptional defensive skills and counter-attacking precision.

Looking at their head-to-head record, Sasnovich has the upper hand, but the matchups have always been tight. The psychological battle will be intriguing here. Sasnovich thrives when she can dictate the pace and hit out with her forehand, but Paolini’s ability to redirect shots and keep rallies long will test Sasnovich’s patience. Mental strength will play a key role in this encounter, and Paolini’s ability to frustrate Sasnovich could tilt the match in her favor.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

One of the most crucial areas to watch in this match will be the baseline rallies. Sasnovich's forehand against Paolini’s backhand will be a decisive duel. Sasnovich will look to step inside the baseline and dictate play with her forehand, while Paolini will aim to neutralize those attacks with her defensive skills and her ability to redirect shots to force errors. The longer the rallies go, the more it will benefit Paolini, as she can wear down Sasnovich's aggressive style.

Another critical zone will be the return game. Sasnovich will have to handle Paolini’s consistency, especially on the second serve, where Paolini often generates good depth. If Sasnovich can return aggressively and break Paolini's rhythm early in the points, she will have the upper hand. On the flip side, Paolini will look to exploit Sasnovich's tendency to sometimes struggle under pressure from consistent rallying, forcing errors or weak shots to capitalize on the rally.

Match Scenario and Prediction

Looking at all the tactical nuances, this match will most likely unfold with Sasnovich trying to dictate play early on with her power and aggression, while Paolini will rely on her defensive skills to absorb that power and redirect it back into play. Sasnovich’s forehand will be the key weapon for her, but Paolini’s ability to stay in the point and turn defense into offense could make life difficult for the Belarusian.

In terms of prediction, while Sasnovich’s more attacking style may seem advantageous on paper, Paolini’s defensive solidity and consistency will likely be the deciding factors. Paolini’s ability to stay calm under pressure and control the pace of rallies could lead her to a three-set victory, but Sasnovich’s aggressive mindset means she will never go down without a fight. This match will be a close one, but Paolini’s resilience and tactical discipline should give her the edge.

Final Thoughts

This encounter between Sasnovich and Paolini promises to be a fascinating clash of styles—aggressive power versus patient defense. The winner will be determined by who can better control the pace of rallies, maintain consistency, and manage the mental aspect of the game. Will Sasnovich’s firepower prove too much for Paolini to handle, or will Paolini’s resilience and counter-attacking tactics reign supreme? This match will answer those questions and set the stage for a thrilling progression in the Australian Open.

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