Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt 04 on January 16
On January 16, 2026, two Bundesliga 3 sides, Jahn Regensburg and Ingolstadt 04, will meet in a crucial clash at the Stadion an der Kehr, Regensburg. With both teams battling for key points in the middle of the table, the stakes are high. For Regensburg, a push for promotion or securing a strong mid-table finish is on the line, while Ingolstadt will look to avoid slipping into the relegation zone. Expect an intense encounter as both sides aim to gain an advantage in the tightly contested league.
Jahn Regensburg: Tactical Approach and Current Form
Jahn Regensburg have been in solid form recently, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their tactical setup revolves around a compact 4-3-3 formation, with a focus on high pressing and quick transitions. The team enjoys controlling possession in the midfield, averaging 58% possession in their last few outings, and they are particularly dangerous when exploiting spaces in the final third. Their xG (expected goals) per match stands at 1.8, showing a solid attacking output.
Key player Erik Thommy has been the driving force for Regensburg, contributing 5 goals and 3 assists in their last 5 games. His creativity in the final third makes him a constant threat to opposition defenses. However, Regensburg will be without midfielder David Atanga due to injury, which could slightly hinder their press and build-up play from midfield.
Ingolstadt 04: Tactical Approach and Current Form
Ingolstadt 04 have struggled for consistency, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five fixtures. The team often lines up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and counter-attacking football. They average just 46% possession in their recent games, highlighting their reliance on breaking quickly when possession is regained. Ingolstadt's attack has been less prolific, with an xG of 1.1 per match.
Their star player, Benjamin Kessel, has been their most influential player this season, with 4 goals and 2 assists. However, the absence of key forward Stefan Kutschke due to suspension will leave a void in their attack, potentially limiting their offensive capabilities. Ingolstadt will need to adjust their tactical setup to compensate for his absence and could struggle to break down Regensburg's press without him.
Head-to-Head: History and Psychology
In the last 5 encounters between Jahn Regensburg and Ingolstadt 04, Regensburg have the upper hand, with 3 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw. The games have generally been tight, with Regensburg edging their opponents in terms of possession and chances created. Their most recent encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Regensburg, and a similar result seems plausible here. Ingolstadt have had difficulty containing Regensburg's press, often conceding goals from quick turnovers.
Key Battles and Critical Zones
The most pivotal duel will be between Jahn Regensburg's winger, Erik Thommy, and Ingolstadt's right-back, Maximilian Wolfram. Thommy's dribbling and creativity will pose a serious challenge to Wolfram, who will need to be disciplined in his defensive positioning. Another critical area will be in midfield, where Regensburg's Lukas Mühl will look to dominate the middle of the park, especially with Ingolstadt’s defensive midfielder, Christian Ortlepp, being key to disrupting Regensburg's build-up play.
The midfield battle will be crucial, as Regensburg’s ability to control possession and break through Ingolstadt’s midfield block will be key to unlocking their defense. If Regensburg can successfully outplay Ingolstadt in this zone, they will likely control the tempo of the match.
Match Scenario and Prediction
This match will likely see Jahn Regensburg take control early, using their high press to pin Ingolstadt back. With Ingolstadt missing Kutschke, they may struggle to transition quickly and will need to rely on set-pieces and long balls to generate chances. Regensburg will look to exploit spaces left behind as Ingolstadt press forward in search of an equalizer. Expect Regensburg to maintain a solid defensive shape, with Ingolstadt struggling to break them down.
Prediction: Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Ingolstadt 04. Regensburg’s pressing game and home advantage will likely prove too much for Ingolstadt, who will find it hard to cope without their key striker. A total of over 2.5 goals seems likely, with both teams contributing to the scoreline.
Final Thoughts
Jahn Regensburg’s superior pressing game and attacking output should see them emerge victorious in this encounter. The absence of Stefan Kutschke leaves Ingolstadt with a significant gap in attack, which may prove decisive. Can Regensburg maintain their solid form and continue their push for promotion? This match will likely provide the answer, with Regensburg looking to extend their good run against an Ingolstadt side that must adapt quickly.
