Lajovic D vs Maestrelli F on 15 January

11:48, 14 January 2026
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ATP | 15 January at 01:30
Lajovic D
Lajovic D
VS
Maestrelli F
Maestrelli F

On January 15th, the Australian Open will host an intriguing second-round clash between the Serbian veteran, Dusan Lajovic, and Italy's promising up-and-comer, Francesco Maestrelli. The match promises to be a compelling display of contrasting styles, with Lajovic’s experience and tactical maturity set against Maestrelli's youthful energy and attacking flair. As both players look to advance in one of tennis’s most prestigious tournaments, the stakes could not be higher. For Lajovic, it’s a chance to build on his solid Grand Slam credentials, while for Maestrelli, this is a pivotal opportunity to make a statement on the big stage. With the Melbourne weather offering its usual unpredictability, this encounter is shaping up to be a must-watch for any tennis enthusiast.

Lajovic D: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Over the past few months, Dusan Lajovic has shown a steady level of consistency, especially in his baseline rallies. His last five matches, though not always winning, have demonstrated his resilience. With a solid 60% first-serve percentage, Lajovic is a player who thrives on his ability to dictate rallies from the back of the court. Known for his heavy topspin forehand, Lajovic often tries to move his opponents wide, opening up the court for his backhand, which is one of his more reliable weapons. His average first-serve points won (75%) and second-serve points won (55%) reflect his solid, if not explosive, game style. He tends to play a controlled, tactical match, relying on his patience and ability to exploit opponent errors.

However, Lajovic's Achilles' heel has been his performance on faster surfaces. While his baseline game and ability to construct points are strong, on quicker courts like those in Melbourne, he can sometimes struggle to find rhythm against players with higher aggression from the baseline. His recent form has been mixed, but he showed encouraging signs in his last outing, focusing on improving his movement and reducing unforced errors. He'll need to execute a solid serving game and patiently wait for his opportunities to move forward into the net, where his volley game has shown improvement, but still needs refinement to truly challenge the best.

Maestrelli F: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Francesco Maestrelli, on the other hand, represents the new wave of Italian tennis: aggressive, attacking, and dynamic. With a high first-serve percentage (around 70%) and a solid second-serve, Maestrelli uses his serve to dictate play. His major strength lies in his relentless baseline aggression, hitting with power off both sides, often looking to take the initiative in rallies. His ability to hit clean, aggressive shots in both forehand and backhand exchanges makes him a dangerous opponent, especially when he is allowed to control the tempo of the match.

Maestrelli’s statistics reflect his dynamic style. He won 80% of his first-serve points in his last five matches and has been improving his second-serve percentage. His groundstrokes are potent, but his net game is still developing, and he will need to incorporate more variety in his approach against a player like Lajovic. The Italian's biggest asset will be his youthful energy and desire to make an impact. He is aggressive from the outset, and while this can occasionally lead to errors, it also means he can put a lot of pressure on Lajovic, forcing him to chase down balls and hit more defensive shots. Maestrelli must maintain a high first-serve percentage and stay aggressive without overextending himself. His ability to dictate points early will be crucial.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

As of now, Lajovic and Maestrelli have not faced each other on the ATP tour, which adds an intriguing layer of unpredictability to this matchup. While Lajovic has far more experience, Maestrelli's aggressive playing style could unsettle Lajovic, especially given that the Serbian's defensive game can sometimes falter under pressure. Lajovic’s strengths are often in his tactical awareness and patience, but Maestrelli’s raw power and intent to dominate rallies could disrupt his rhythm. This match-up will largely depend on whether Lajovic can weather the storm of Maestrelli’s early aggression and find a way to impose his own pace on the match.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

The first key battle will be the serving game. Maestrelli’s power-serving will be tested by Lajovic’s returning abilities. Lajovic is known for his ability to return serves with consistency, but Maestrelli’s fast serve speeds and aggressive second serve could put him on the defensive early. How well Lajovic returns serve will be a defining factor in this match. If Lajovic can neutralize Maestrelli's serve and turn points into rallies, he will have a significant advantage.

Another key battle lies at the baseline. Maestrelli’s power-hitting against Lajovic’s more methodical and calculated approach will be an interesting contest of styles. Maestrelli will need to ensure he does not overhit or fall into errors while attacking the baseline, as Lajovic can take advantage of any loose shots. Conversely, Lajovic’s ability to move Maestrelli wide and then change direction with his backhand could lead to success if he is able to pull Maestrelli off the court.

Match Scenario and Prediction

This match will likely unfold with Maestrelli coming out strong, looking to dominate early with his aggressive style of play. Lajovic will need to weather this early storm, keeping the points long and focusing on his return game to get into Maestrelli's head. If Lajovic can neutralize the Italian’s serve, he will find his opportunities to control the rallies and force Maestrelli into longer exchanges, where the Serbian's consistency and tactical sharpness will shine.

On the other hand, if Maestrelli can dictate from the start, landing his first serves with accuracy and taking the initiative with his forehand, he will have a strong chance to control the match. Lajovic's ability to adapt quickly will be key, and if he struggles to contain Maestrelli’s pace early, it could be a long day for the Serbian.

Overall, this match is poised to be a thrilling encounter. Given the contrast in playing styles, the result could hinge on who manages to impose their tempo. I predict a 3-set match, with Maestrelli edging out Lajovic in a tight encounter due to his superior aggression and power. The first set will be crucial – whoever takes it will likely have the momentum to win the match.

Final Thoughts

The clash between Dusan Lajovic and Francesco Maestrelli is one that promises to captivate fans with its strategic depth and contrasting styles. Lajovic’s experience and consistency against Maestrelli’s raw power will decide the outcome, but the key question remains: Can Lajovic withstand the intensity of Maestrelli’s game, or will the young Italian continue his rise with another impressive win?

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