Sampaio Correa Maranhao vs Iape on 15 January

08:12, 14 January 2026
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Brazil | 15 January at 22:30
Sampaio Correa Maranhao
Sampaio Correa Maranhao
VS
Iape
Iape

On January 15th, the stage is set for an intense encounter in the Maranhão state football competition as Sampaio Corrêa Maranhão takes on Iape. The match promises to be a tactical thriller, with both sides needing points for their respective aspirations. For Sampaio Corrêa, the pressure is on to maintain their dominance at the top of the standings, while Iape seeks to solidify their place in the upper echelons. The atmosphere will be electric as the two teams clash for supremacy on the pitch, with pride and points on the line.

Sampaio Correa Maranhao: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Sampaio Corrêa enters this match in solid form, with a series of commendable results in their last five games. The team has managed to stay unbeaten in their last four matches, with three victories and a draw. This impressive run places them comfortably within the top spots of the Maranhão state tournament. Their tactical setup typically revolves around a 4-3-3 formation, with a focus on high pressing and rapid transitions into attack. The defensive line is generally solid, and the midfield trio plays a crucial role in dominating possession and distributing the ball efficiently. Sampaio's build-up play is characterized by short passes in the middle of the park, aiming to break down opposition defenses through clever movement off the ball.

In terms of key metrics, Sampaio Corrêa excels in xG (expected goals), with their offensive efficiency shining through in their recent matches. They have posted an xG of 1.8 per match in their last five games, largely due to the creative vision and precise passing of their midfielders. Possession in the final third has been a notable statistic, with an average of 60% possession in advanced areas, reflecting their dominance over the ball and their methodical approach to attacking.

Key players such as the attacking midfielder João Pedro have been instrumental in Sampaio's rise. His ability to dictate tempo and link up play between the midfield and attack makes him a crucial figure for the team. In addition, their primary striker, Diego Silva, has been in superb form, contributing significantly to the team's goal tally. However, injuries to key defensive players could pose a concern, as Sampaio has shown vulnerabilities in their backline in recent games, especially when defending set-pieces. Should these injuries hinder their defensive stability, it could open doors for Iape's attack to exploit those areas.

Iape: Tactical Approach and Current Form

Iape, on the other hand, has had a mixed run of form, winning two and losing three of their last five matches. Their current league standing puts them in a precarious position, as they must gather points to stay in contention for the upper half of the table. Iape generally sets up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on compact defending and quick counter-attacks. The team’s key strength lies in their ability to break quickly from deep, with pacey wingers and a central playmaker capable of launching rapid transitions. Their defensive solidity is built around a disciplined two-man midfield pivot, with both central midfielders tasked with disrupting the opponent's rhythm and distributing long passes to the wide players.

Statistically, Iape has struggled to maintain possession, often sitting deeper in games, averaging just 45% possession in their last five matches. However, they are highly efficient when they do have the ball in advanced areas, with a pass accuracy of 82%, which allows them to pick out key passes in the final third. Iape’s biggest threat lies in their directness and vertical passing, where they attempt to hit long balls to the striker, aiming to capitalize on mistakes or space left by the opposition's high defensive line.

The standout player for Iape is their winger, Rafael Souza, whose pace and dribbling ability make him a constant threat on the counter-attack. If Iape is to succeed in this match, Souza will be a key player in exploiting the space left behind by Sampaio’s forward runs. However, Iape’s defense has been leaky at times, conceding soft goals, particularly from set pieces and crosses into the box. They will need to be resolute in this match if they are to challenge the attacking prowess of Sampaio.

Head-to-Head: History and Psychology

Historically, Sampaio Corrêa has enjoyed a dominant record over Iape, winning four of the last five encounters between the two teams. The last match, played earlier this season, ended in a 2-0 victory for Sampaio, with both goals coming from set-pieces. This result reflects Sampaio’s ability to exploit Iape’s defensive frailties, especially in aerial duels. However, Iape managed to hold their own in the reverse fixture last season, securing a 1-1 draw, which will give them some psychological advantage heading into this match. That result, coupled with their improving counter-attacking play, could inspire confidence in Iape as they aim to upset the odds.

Key Battles and Critical Zones

Two crucial battles will shape the outcome of this match. The first is the contest between the full-backs and wingers. Sampaio’s attacking width will be key to unlocking Iape’s defense, but Iape’s wingers, particularly Rafael Souza, will need to track back to prevent crosses from reaching the box. The battle on the flanks will be a decisive one, as the team that wins this battle will control the width of the game and create space in central areas.

The second pivotal battle will be in the midfield. Sampaio's João Pedro is the orchestrator for his team, and how well Iape's midfield pivot, comprising Felipe and Ricardo, can disrupt his rhythm will be a deciding factor. If Iape can prevent Sampaio from dominating possession and playing through the center, they could limit their opponent’s attacking threat. However, should Sampaio manage to control the midfield, they will be able to dictate the pace of the game and create clear-cut opportunities.

Match Scenario and Prediction

The most likely match scenario will see Sampaio Corrêa taking the initiative early, using their superior possession and pressing to dominate the midfield. Iape, on the other hand, will look to sit deeper and exploit space on the break, particularly through the pace of Souza. Sampaio will have the majority of possession, but Iape’s counter-attacking strategy will make them dangerous on the transition. The critical factor will be whether Iape can defend set-pieces and whether Sampaio’s defense remains solid against Iape’s quick breaks.

Prediction: Sampaio Corrêa 2-1 Iape. Sampaio will likely edge this contest, but Iape will cause them problems with their counter-attacks. The key for Sampaio will be to exploit their set-piece advantage and keep Iape at bay defensively.

Final Thoughts

The outcome of this match hinges on Sampaio Corrêa’s ability to break down Iape’s disciplined defense while avoiding being caught on the counter. If Iape can defend set-pieces and use their pace effectively, they could cause an upset. However, Sampaio's superior tactical setup and individual brilliance should see them through in a close encounter. Will Sampaio continue their march to the top, or will Iape prove to be a thorn in their side? This match will answer that question and more.

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