EHC Biel vs HC Ajoie on 27 January
On January 27th, two teams at contrasting ends of the National League spectrum will clash in what promises to be a thrilling encounter: EHC Biel will face HC Ajoie at the Tissot Arena. This game holds significant importance for both sides, albeit for different reasons. For Biel, it's a chance to strengthen their hold on a playoff position, while Ajoie, struggling near the bottom of the table, desperately needs points to avoid falling into the relegation zone. The intensity of this match will be palpable as both teams seek to either cement their standing or fight for survival.
EHC Biel: Tactical Approach and Current Form
As of late, EHC Biel has been in excellent form, boasting a five-game unbeaten streak with four wins and one overtime loss. This resurgence has been built on a solid defensive foundation combined with a potent offensive setup that thrives on the transition game. Biel's forecheck is aggressive, consistently forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and transitioning quickly into counterattacks. Their 2.90 goals per game is among the top in the league, with a high shooting percentage of 12.1%, showcasing their ability to convert chances effectively.
One of the key tactical elements in Biel's game is their power play, which operates at a respectable 22.5% efficiency. Their quick puck movement and sharp shooting from the point create multiple scoring chances, and they will likely look to exploit Ajoie's penalty kill, which ranks in the lower half of the league.
In terms of personnel, Biel has been lifted by the stellar play of their top line. Forward Joël Vermin has been in electric form, with 14 points in his last 10 games. He is complemented by veteran defenseman Steve McCarthy, whose ability to quarterback the power play is crucial. The health of their netminder, Jonas Hiller, will be pivotal, as he has posted a .917 save percentage on the season. With a steady defensive unit and a well-balanced attack, Biel will look to control the tempo and impose their speed on Ajoie.
HC Ajoie: Tactical Approach and Current Form
HC Ajoie enters this game in a dire situation, having won just two of their last five matches. Their struggle has been in both ends of the rink, as they have struggled to generate offense (only 2.30 goals per game) and have been porous defensively, allowing an average of 3.30 goals per game. Ajoie’s forecheck lacks the bite needed to disrupt opposing offenses, and they have been caught out too many times in transition, conceding high-quality scoring chances.
Offensively, Ajoie relies heavily on the playmaking ability of captain Thierry Paterlini and forward Frédéric Dufresne, both of whom have had solid individual seasons. However, they lack consistent secondary scoring, which has made it difficult to mount sustained offensive pressure. Their power play ranks 17th in the league at just 18.4%, which further exacerbates their issues on special teams.
Ajoie’s defense has been one of the main areas of concern. Their blue line, while experienced, struggles against speed and creativity. The physical play that often marks their defensive zone entries has been inconsistent, and they often find themselves chasing the puck in their own zone. Goalie Ryan Zapolski's .907 save percentage does not inspire confidence either, as he has often been left to fend off multiple high-danger shots per game. Ajoie will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on Biel's mistakes to have any chance of pulling off an upset.
Head-to-Head: History and Psychology
In the five encounters between these teams this season, Biel has dominated, winning four of the five matchups, including two in convincing fashion. Ajoie’s only win came in overtime, where they snatched a dramatic victory on home ice. Biel has consistently outshot Ajoie, averaging 33 shots per game compared to Ajoie’s 27. This disparity in shot volume has been a key factor in their head-to-head dominance. Additionally, Biel’s ability to control the tempo has been evident, with Ajoie unable to establish their physical brand of hockey when facing a team as fast and disciplined as Biel.
Psychologically, Ajoie will have to find a way to overcome their underdog status and deal with the pressure of avoiding relegation. They will need to play a gritty, hard-nosed game while attempting to slow down Biel’s potent offense. Biel, on the other hand, is riding high with confidence and knows the importance of this game in their pursuit of a top playoff spot. The mental side of the game could be pivotal, especially in the latter stages when fatigue sets in and the intensity rises.
Key Battles and Critical Zones
One of the most intriguing duels will be the battle between the two teams’ top lines. EHC Biel’s top unit, led by Vermin, will look to exploit Ajoie’s defensive weaknesses, particularly their lack of speed in transition. Ajoie’s defensemen, such as Matyas Stransky, will need to be physical but also disciplined, as Biel’s forwards can create space and make quick plays in the offensive zone.
Another key matchup will be between the two goalies. Hiller’s experience and ability to stay calm under pressure will be tested against Ajoie’s physical style of play. If Zapolski falters under the weight of Biel’s attack, Ajoie’s hopes of keeping this game competitive will diminish rapidly.
In terms of the rink, the neutral zone will be critical. Biel’s speed on the transition has been a hallmark of their play, and Ajoie will need to clog up the neutral zone to limit Biel’s offensive chances. The physicality of Ajoie’s forwards, such as Luca Fazzini, will be key to disrupting Biel’s flow and generating turnovers in dangerous areas.
Match Scenario and Prediction
Given the form, tactical setups, and individual matchups, this game is likely to see Biel take control early with a fast-paced game that stretches Ajoie’s defense. Ajoie will try to slow things down and make it a gritty, physical contest, but they will struggle to match Biel’s offensive firepower. Expect Biel to dominate possession and shot volume, and if they capitalize on their power-play opportunities, they should emerge victorious.
The most likely scenario is a 4-1 or 5-2 win for Biel, with the game being decided in the second period. Key metrics to watch will be shots on goal (Biel should outshoot Ajoie by a wide margin) and power play efficiency (where Biel has the advantage). Ajoie will need to stay disciplined and find a way to get to the crease and generate second-chance opportunities if they are to stand any chance of an upset.
Final Thoughts
This matchup will answer a crucial question: Can Ajoie find a way to stifle Biel’s offense and generate enough offense to escape the relegation zone? With their survival in the balance, Ajoie will throw everything they have at Biel. However, Biel’s talent, depth, and momentum will likely see them through, even if Ajoie puts up a spirited fight. Expect an exciting, high-energy game with Biel ultimately prevailing in regulation.
